环境规制对我国国际市场潜力的影响——基于31个省区面板数据

The Impact of Environmental Regulation on China’s International Market Potential——An Empirical Study Based on Panel Data of 31 Provinces

选取全国31个省区2006—2017年的面板数据为样本数据,构建计量模型以分析环境规制强度与我国国际市场潜力之间存在的关系。利用固定效应模型对样本数据进行实证分析。结果表明:从全国层面看,环境规制与国际市场潜力之间存在负相关关系,符合“污染避难所假说”,这种关系在东部地区尤为显著;另外,GDP、就业人数和汇率水平都对国际市场潜力的提升有正向促进作用,而资本存量对国际市场潜力的提升有抑制作用。

This paper selects panel data of 31 provinces and regions from 2006 to 2017 as sample data,and constructs a measurement model to analyze the relationship between the intensity of environmental regulation and the potential of international market.Through the empirical analysis of the sample data by the fixed effect model,the results show that from the national level,there is a negative correlation between environmental regulation and the potential of the international market,which is in line with the“pollution shelter hypothesis”,especially in the eastern region;in addition,GDP,employment and exchange rate levels have a positive role in promoting the potential of the international market;however,capital stock has a negative effect on the improvement of international market potential.