从制衡到对冲:二战后中东国际关系嬗变的驱动力

From Balancing to Hedging: Analysis of Driving Factors for the Evolution of International Relations in the Middle East after the World War Ⅱ.

作为全球国际关系体系的一个子系统,中东国际关系包括域内国家之间的关系、域内国家与域外国家主要是大国之间的关系两个方面。尽管中东国家的外交行为向来多变,但透过看似杂乱无章的国际关系表象,仍可以把握中东国家战略行为的演变规律,仍可以发现战后中东国际关系嬗变背后的主要驱动力。很大程度上讲,战后中东国家战略行为由制衡向对冲的演变,直接推动了该地区国际关系的演展。

As a subsystem of the global international relations system, the Middle East international relations include the relations between countries in the region, the relations between countries in the region and countries(great powers) outside the region. Although the diplomatic behaviors of the Middle East countries have always been known for their unconventional behaviors, and the post-war international relations in the Middle East also changed rapidly, the evolution rule of the strategic behaviors of Middle East countries can still be grasped through the seemingly chaotic appearance of international relations, and the main driving force behind the evolution of the post-war international relations of the Middle East can still be found. To a large extent, the evolution of the strategic behavior of the Middle East countries from balancing to hedging has directly promoted the development of international relations in the region.