华东地区旅游碳排放与碳承载力关系研究

Study on the Relationship between Tourism Carbon Emission and Carbon Carrying Capacity in East China

构建旅游碳压力指数模型,研究华东七省份2004—2018年旅游碳排放与旅游碳承载力的关系。研究发现:(1)华东七省份旅游碳排放逐年增加,江苏、山东、浙江旅游碳排放位列前三。江西、安徽旅游碳排放增长较快,上海旅游碳排放增加相对稳定。(2)华东地区旅游碳承载力呈稳步上升态势。福建旅游碳承载力最大,江西旅游碳承载力增长最快,上海、江苏、山东旅游碳承载力增长缓慢。(3)华东地区各省份旅游碳排放与旅游碳承载力基本处于失调状态,根据碳压力指数与耦合协调水平,将华东七省份分为四种类型:上海为高旅游碳压—持续严重失调型;江苏、山东、浙江为中旅游碳压—快速严重失调型;江西为低旅游碳压—缓慢濒临失调型;安徽、福建为旅游碳盈余—持续濒临失调型。华东地区旅游生态压力巨大,减少区域旅游业的碳排放、增加森林碳汇任重道远。

A tourism carbon pressure index model was established to study the relationship between tourism carbon emissions and tourism carbon carrying capacity in seven provinces of East China from 2004 to 2018.The results show that:(1) Tourism carbon emissions of seven provinces in East China are increasing year by year,and Jiangsu,Shandong and Zhejiang are the top three tourism carbon emissions.Jiangxi and Anhui tourism carbon emissions increased rapidly,while Shanghai tourism carbon emissions increase is relatively stable.(2) The carbon carrying capacity of tourism in East China shows a steady upward trend.The carbon carrying capacity of tourism in Fujian is the largest,while that in Jiangxi is growing the fastest.The carbon carrying capacity of tourism in Shanghai,Jiangsu and Shandong grows slowly.(3) Tourism carbon emissions and tourism carbon carrying capacity are basically in a state of imbalance.According to the carbon pressure index and coupling coordination level,the seven provinces in East China can be divided into four types:Shanghai is the type of high tourism carbon pressure-persistent serious imbalance;Jiangsu,Shandong and Zhejiang are the fast and serious imbalance type of tourism carbon pressure.Jiangxi is low tourism carbon pressure-slow and close to imbalance type;Anhui and Fujian are the type of tourism carbon surplus,which is on the verge of imbalance.The ecological pressure of tourism in East China is huge.It is a long way to reduce the regional tourism carbon emission and increase the forest carbon sink.