农旅融合减贫效应研究:作用机理与实证考察

Research on the Poverty Reduction Effect of the Integration of Agriculture and Tourism:Mechanism and Empirical Investigation

随着2020年农村原发性绝对贫困消除,我国贫困治理的重心也将由消除显性绝对贫困转向缓解隐性相对贫困。农旅融合是推动全域旅游,实现乡村振兴的重要推手。文章基于2007-2018年中国30个省份的面板数据,在利用熵值法、因子分析法和灰色关联度的基础上,综合运用固定效应模型、两阶段最小二乘法、系统广义矩估计以及分位数回归对农旅融合与相对贫困之间的关系进行验证。结果表明:农旅融合能够显著减缓相对贫困,这一结论在经过一系列内生性处理和稳健性检验之后依然成立。面板分位数回归结果显示,随着分位点不断上升,农旅融合对相对贫困的减缓作用也愈发明显,即农旅融合具有亲贫性,贫困越深,减贫边际效应越大。为更好地发挥农旅融合的益贫作用,应进一步加大农旅融合产业开发,巩固拓展产业减贫效应;注重农旅融合减贫异质性,完善旅游开发利益分享机制。

With the elimination of primary absolute poverty in rural areas in 2020,the center of poverty governance in my country will also shift from the elimination of explicit absolute poverty to the alleviation of implicit relative poverty.The integration of agri⁃culture and tourism is an important driving force for promoting global tourism and realizing rural revitalization.Based on panel data of 30 Chinese provinces from 2007-2018,the article validates the relationship between agro-tourism integration and relative pover⁃ty using a combination of fixed-effects models,two-stage least squares,systematic generalized moment estimation,and quantile re⁃gression based on entropy,factor analysis,and gray correlation.The results show that agro-tourism integration can significantly re⁃duce relative poverty,and this conclusion is tenable after a series of endogeneity treatments and robustness tests.The panel quan⁃tile regression results show that as the quantile rises,the alleviation effect of agro-tourism integration on relative poverty becomes more and more obvious,i.e.,agro-tourism integration is pro-poor,and the deeper the poverty,the greater the marginal effect of pov⁃erty reduction.In order to better play the role of the integration of agriculture and tourism in helping the poor,combined with the re⁃search conclusions,the paper puts forward corresponding policy suggestions.