百年未有之大变局下中国区域发展格局演变

Spatial Evolution Process of China’s Regional Development Pattern in Big Changes Unseen in a Century

在经历百年未有之大变局的当下,我国区域发展总体格局演变的态势如何?哪些地域担当了区域增长极角色?推动区域发展的核心动力是什么?这些都是经济地理学者关心的问题。文章从科技创新、产业结构、经济发展三个方面入手,借助地理联系率、双变量Moran指数等分析工具,刻画2006—2019年中国区域发展格局的演变过程,分析内部作用机理,导出政策启示。研究发现:(1)2006—2019年,中国东西部发展差异呈现逐渐缩小态势,但南北发展差异却逐渐增大,我国东西"单向"发展不平衡的总体格局呈现出向东西、南北"双向"发展不平衡的方向演变。(2)城市群和中心城市对我国区域发展的支撑作用巨大,我国城乡"单向"发展不平衡格局向城乡、大城市与中小城市"双向"发展不平衡的方向转变。2006—2019年,19大城市群汇集了全国88%的GDP、93%的专利。(3)经济发展质量越来越高。"创新驱动、转型发展"政策效益呈现显现。2006年以来,科技创新、先进制造、经济发展三者空间关联关系不断增强。此外,针对中国区域发展现实问题,提出了加大支持东北地区、边缘地区中小城市创新能力建设、高质量发展,扶持"双向飞地"建设等对策建议。

What is the evolution trend of the overall pattern of regional development in China?Which regions play the role in regional growth pole?What is the core driving force to promote regional development?These are issues of concern to economic geographers at a time of big changes unseen in a century.Under the background of the new era,this paper describes the evolution process of China’s regional development pattern from 2006 to 2019 from three aspects of economic development,industrial structure and technological innovation.The results show that:1)From 2006 to 2019,the regional differences between the east and the west of China gradually narrowed,but the development difference between the north and the south gradually increased.The spatial pattern of"one-way"imbalance development between the east and the west in China has evolved in the direction of"two-way"imbalance development between the east and west and between the north and south.2)Urban agglomerations and central cities play a great role in supporting China’s regional development.19 major urban agglomerations accounts for 88%of China’s GDP and 93%of patents from 2006 to 2019.The"one-way"development imbalance between urban and rural areas has changed to the"two-way"imbalance development between urban and rural areas,large cities and small and medium-sized cities.3)The quality of economic development is getting more higher.The benefits of the innovation-driven transformation development policy have gradually emerged,and the quality of economic development is getting higher and higher.Since 2006,The spatial relationship between scientific and technological innovation,advanced manufacturing and economic development has been continuously strengthened.In view of the problems of China’s regional development,this paper puts forward some suggestions,such as increasing support for the construction of innovation capacity and high-quality development of small and medium-sized cities in northeast and marginal areas,and supporting the construction of"two-way enclaves".