“大城市化”发展趋势探究——基于联合国世界经济和社会事务部数据库相关数据的分析

Research on the development trend of Megapolization:Analysis based on relevant data from the United Nations Department of World Economic and Social Affairs database

采用联合国世界经济和社会事务部数据库的最新数据,从总体和分类别等多个维度进行分析,发现世界上绝大多数国家和地区存在大城市化现象,少部分国家和地区正在步入大城市化时代。在经济发展水平和城镇化水平较低的阶段,大城市化现象最明显。随着经济发展水平和城镇化水平的提高,大城市化居于主导地位的可能性越来越大。中国目前的大城市化发展处于正常范围,无论是从人口规模还是从经济与城镇化发展前景来看,大城市化居于主导地位都是大概率事件。

Using the latest data from the database of the United Nations Department of world economic and social affairs,this paper analyzes multiple dimensionsin general and by category,and find that the phenomenon of megapolization exists in the majority of countries and regions in the world,and a small number of countries and regions are stepping into the era ofmegapolization;at the stage of low level of economic development and urbanization,the phenomenon of megapolization is the most obvious;with the rapid development of the economy and urbanization,the phenomenon of megapolization has become more and more obvious.With the improvement of the level of economic development and urbanization,it is more and more likely that megapolization will be dominant.The current development of megapolization in China is in the normal range,and the dominance of megapolization is a probable event in terms of population size and economic and urbanization development prospects.In the present situation,it is correct to put forward the development strategy of megalopolis and urban agglomerations.