常规能源国际贸易网络演化特征研究

On Evolution Characteristics of International Trade Network of Conventional Energy

为研究常规能源贸易网络演化特征,利用2010~2019年能源国际贸易数据,基于复杂网络理论,构建有向加权网络,分析网络整体特征、贸易核心国及中国在网络中的特征变化等。结果显示,常规能源贸易规模越来越大;美国、荷兰、中国对贸易控制能力较强;中国是连接网络的核心节点。建议各国观测美国、荷兰、中国的贸易趋势调整贸易量;美国、日本、中国是贸易国首选的贸易伙伴;资源不足且需求大的国家与沙特、俄罗斯等建立贸易关系。

In order to study the evolution characteristics of conventional energy trade network,based on the energy international trade data from 2010 to 2019 and the complex network theory,this paper constructs a directed weighted network to analyze the overall characteristics of the network and the changes of the characteristics of trade core countries and China in the network.The results show that the scale of conventional energy trade is becoming larger and larger;The United States,the Netherlands and China have strong ability to control trade;China is the core node connecting the network.It is suggested that all countries should observe the trade trend of the United States,the Netherlands and China and adjust the trade volume;The United States,Japan and China are the preferred trading partners of trading countries;Countries with insufficient resources and high demand establish trade relations with Saudi Arabia,Russia and other countries.