城市公交网络中出行者可靠路径选择方法研究

Study on Selection Method of Reliable Route for Passengers in Urban Public Transit Network

针对常规公交和城市轨道交通运行的不同特征,分别分析在高峰时段和平峰时段基于乘客角度的运行可靠性。首先,对常规公交运行可靠性的影响因素进行分析并建立运行可靠性模型。其次,对单条线路研究分时段分析基于统计数据的城市轨道交通容量可靠性和连通可靠性。建立乘客出行路径广义费用函数,分析OD对间各条路径的广义费用值,根据乘客不同的出行时刻,为乘客提供当下更加可靠和合理的路径。

In the view of different characteristics of conventional public transit and urban rail transit, the passenger-based operation reliability during peak traffic hour and normal traffic hour was analyzed respectively.Firstly, the influencing factors on operation reliability of conventional public transit were analyzed and the operation reliability model was established. Then, focusing on the single line, the capacity reliability and connectivity reliability of urban rail transit based on statistical data were analyzed in time segments. The generalized cost function of travel path for passengers was established, and generalized cost value of each path between OD pairs was analyzed, so as to provide passengers with more reliable and reasonable routes in real time according to different travel times.