增开区域扇区管制工作负荷评估及预测研究

Research on Workload Evaluation and Forecast of Additional Sector Control

随着我国航路交通量的不断增长,区域扇区增开需求急剧增加。目前国内大多数区域扇区均以一线管制员在实际管制工作中积累的经验形成传统的水平、垂直方向扇区增开方案,并未形成科学的仿真评估体系。为提出科学的增开区域扇区评估预测方法,并研究传统增开区域扇区方法在降低管制工作负荷上的有效性,采用基于AirTOp和雷达管制模拟机相结合的仿真评估预测方法,以典型繁忙扇区ZSSSAR14为基础设计传统的垂直方向增开方案,对扇区增开前后管制员工作负荷指标进行评估和预测。研究结果表明,基于AirTOp与管制模拟机两者进行仿真评估所得到的结果保持一致,两种方法相结合可有效地对区域扇区的增开效果进行评估。同时,采用依据管制经验的增开区域扇区方案后,管制联动调配增多,工作负荷增大更多,传统扇区增开方法对提高区域扇区运行保障的意义有限,并不具备可持续增长的能力。

With the continuous growth of air traffic volume in China,the demand for regional sector expansion is increasing rapidly.At present,most of the regional sectors in China have formed the traditional horizontal and vertical sector expansion scheme based on the experience accumulated by front-line controllers in the actual control work,and a scientific simulation evaluation system has not been formed.In order to put forward a scientific evaluation and prediction method of additional sector,and to study the effectiveness of traditional extended sector method in reducing control workload,a simulation evaluation and prediction method based on AirTOp and radar control simulator is adopted,and a vertical expansion scheme is designed based on typical busy sector ZSSSAR14 to evaluate and predict the workload index of controllers before and after sector expansion.The research results show that the results of simulation evaluation based on AirTOp and control simulator are consistent,and the combination of the two methods can effectively evaluate the effect of regional sector expansion.At the same time,after adopting the additional sector scheme based on regulation experience,the linkage allocation of regulation increases,and the workload increases even more.the traditional sector expansion method has limited significance to improve the operation guarantee of regional sector,and does not have the ability of sustainable growth.