商贸流通业发展传导消费引致的城乡差异研究

On the Urban-rural Differences Caused by the Development of Commercial Circulation Industry and the Transmission of Consumption

文章采用2005-2017年我国省级面板数据对我国商贸流通业的消费引致效应进行了实证分析,结果表明:商贸流通业对消费需求的变化具有显著的引致效应,并在城乡间以及消费总量与消费结构层面存在显著差异,商贸流通业在城镇地区的消费引致效应更为突出,其对消费总量的引致效应明显高于消费结构。因此,要进一步完善农村地区的商贸流通基础设施建设,稳步推进上商贸流通业的转型,为商贸流通业与消费需求的协调发展营造良好的市场环境。

This paper makes an empirical analysis on the consumption induced effect of China’s commercial circulation industry by using China’s provincial panel data from 2005 to 2017.The results show that the commercial circulation industry has a significant induced effect on the change of consumption demand,and there are significant differences between urban and rural areas,total consumption and consumption structure.The consumption induced effect of commercial circulation industry in urban areas is more prominent,whose induced effect on total consumption is significantly higher than that of consumption structure.Therefore,it is necessary to further improve the construction of commercial circulation infrastructure in rural areas,steadily promote the transformation of commercial circulation industry,and create a good market environment for the coordinated development of commercial circulation industry and consumer demand.