从“消极合作”到“积极合作”——中东变局下埃及和以色列关系的新发展

From “Negative Cooperation” to “Positive Cooperation”: The New Development of Relations Between Egypt and Israel under the Middle East Upheaval

中东变局发生以来,尤其是塞西执政后,埃及和以色列面临日益增多的共同外部威胁,两国关系也由"消极合作"向"积极合作"转变。在此过程中,埃以采取合作型管理模式,充分发挥高层会晤的管理手段,促使双边关系日趋稳定。埃以积极合作关系以安全领域为基石,形成以西奈半岛为核心、以东地中海为抓手的联合安全治理路径,极大改善了两国的安全形势。未来,埃以积极合作关系依然充满活力,但由于受到一些不利因素的影响,这一关系也将面临挑战。埃以关系的新发展是中东变局的产物,也是中东格局破旧立新的标志,因此中国在参与中东事务时应当对中东的"新常态"以及其未来可能之变化保持密切关注。

Since the upheaval in the Middle East,especially after Sisi came to power,Egypt and Israel have faced increasing common external threats,and the relations between the two countries have also changed from"negative cooperation"to"positive cooperation".In this process,Egypt and Israel adopted a cooperative management model and gave full play to the management method of high-level meeting,which promoted the stability of bilateral relations.The positive cooperation relations between Egypt and Israel is based on the security field,forming a joint security governance path with the Sinai Peninsula as the core and the Eastern Mediterranean as the main point,which has greatly improved the security situation of the two countries.In the future,the positive cooperation relations between Egypt and Israel will still be full of vitality,but it will also face challenges due to the influence of some unfavorable factors.The new development of Egypt-Israel relations is the product of the upheaval in the Middle East,and it is also a sign of the breaking the old and creating the new of the Middle East’s pattern.When participating in the governance of the Middle East,China should pay close attention to the"new normal"in the Middle East and its possible changes in the future.