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国内市场潜力推动城市经济增长的效应演化和机制分析 被引量:16

The Effect Evolution and the Mechanisms of the Potential of Domestic Market Promoting Urban Economic Growth
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摘要 本文实证检验了国内市场潜力推动城市经济增长的效应演化,并从产业结构变迁、贸易成本下降和市场分割制约三个视角阐述了其间的作用机制。研究发现:伴随着国内市场潜力的持续提升,其对城市GDP增长率的促进作用却呈现出不断减弱的趋势,且在中心-外围城市的分样本回归和多重稳健性检验中依然得到了证实。这一现象背后的作用机制是,中心城市的产业结构由工业化向去工业化变迁、外围城市在贸易成本下降过程中所面临的市场竞争加剧。尽管市场分割也会限制国内市场潜力对经济增长的促进作用,但是,由于我国的市场分割状况整体上趋于改善,这一作用机制并不成立。本文从警惕城市过早和全面去工业化、推进新型工业化和服务贸易发展、推动城市间产业互补以缓解市场竞争等角度,对进一步发挥超大规模国内市场优势、促进城市经济稳步增长提出了政策建议。 This paper empirically tests the effect evolution of domestic market potential in promoting urban economic growth,and expounds its mechanisms from the perspectives of industrial structure changes,trade costs decline,and market segmentation constraints.The results indicate that with the continuous improvement of the domestic market potential,its role in promoting urban GDP growth rate shows a declining trend,which is still confirmed in the sub-sample regression and multiple robustness tests of central-peripheral cities.The mechanisms behind this phenomenon is that the change of industrial structure from industrialization to de-industrialization in central cities and the intensification of market competition faced by peripheral cities in the process of reducing trade costs.Although market segmentation will also limit the role of domestic market potential in promoting economic growth,this mechanism is not established due to the improvement of China’s market segmentation.From the perspective of alerting to premature and comprehensive deindustrialization of cities,advancing the development of new industrialization and service trade,and promoting complementarity among cities to alleviate market competition,this article puts forward policy suggestions for further exerting the advantages of super-large-scale domestic market and promoting the steady growth of urban economy.
作者 郭进 兰叶凡 Guo Jin;Lan Yefan(Business school of Nanjing Normal University)
出处 《经济评论》 CSSCI 北大核心 2021年第6期118-135,共18页 Economic Review
基金 国家自然科学基金青年项目“多目标约束下产城融合的耦合机理与优化路径研究”(项目编号:71803086)的阶段性成果 江苏高校哲学社会科学研究重大项目“公众参与视角下江苏环境治理体系构建与治理能力现代化研究”(项目编号:2020SJZDA053) 南京市社会科学基金专项项目“社会组织参与南京环境治理的路径和效应研究”(项目编号:21YB08)的资助。
关键词 国内市场潜力 经济增长 产业结构 贸易成本 市场分割 Domestic Market Potential Economic Growth Industrial Structure Trade Cost Market Segmentation
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