2021年度国内玉米市场形势分析及展望

Situation and Prospects of Domestic Corn Market in 2021

2021年以来,国内玉米市场价格在持续走强并创下新的历史高位后,随着供需格局的转变以及市场博弈的增强,又转为持续性震荡走弱行情。9月之后,新季玉米将陆续大范围收割上市,市场购销双方的心态或将呈现出与2020年不一样的变化,积极收购、囤粮等热情将减弱。初步预计,在供应结构多元化、需求增速放缓、国家加大调控大宗商品市场等影响下,后期新季玉米收购市场或将呈现箱体小幅波动走势,总体价格区间低于2020年水平的可能性较大。

Since 2021,after the domestic market corn price continued to rise and set a new historical record,with the changes in the supply and demand pattern and the increase in the market game,the market has turned into a continuous decline.After September,corn in the production area will be harvested on a large scale,and the buying and selling mentality of buyers and sellers may change compared with that in 2020.For example,the enthusiasm for active purchase and hoarding will be weakened.At present,under the influence of the diversification of the supply structure,the slowdown in consumption growth,and the increased control efforts,the corn price will show a slight fluctuation in the later period,and the overall price range is likely to be lower than the price level in 2020.