信息真伪判别的常用方法

Common Methods for Judging the Authenticity of Information

信息是生产情报的重要基础。信息是原料和前提,情报是产品和结果。只有原料和前提是准确的,才有可能产生正确的产品和结果。没有对信息进行去伪存真的处理,就不可能得出准确的情报。面对海量信息,对竞争情报人员而言,难点不再是信息的匮乏,而是对纷繁复杂信息真伪性的快速判别。从国内外研究现状来看,存在定量判别操作烦琐、竞争情报人员难以操作,定性判别不系统、不全面等弊端,目前鲜有系统、全面、简单、易行以及定量和定性相结合的信息真伪判别方法。笔者结合多年的竞争情报实践工作经验,提出了信源筛选法等8种信息真伪判别方法。这些方法较为系统全面,而且操作简便,易被竞争情报人员掌握和利用,不仅为竞争情报人员提供了便捷可靠的信息真伪判别手段,而且对科技人员和出版专业技术人员也有重要的参考价值。

Information is an important basis for the production of intelligence. Information is the raw material and premise, and intelligence is the product and result. Only when the raw materials and premises are accurate can it be possible to produce the correct products and results. It is impossible to obtain accurate intelligence without eliminating the false and retaining the true. In the face of massive amounts of information, for competitive intelligence personnel, the difficulty is no longer the lack of information, but the rapid identification of the authenticity of complex information. Judging from the current research status at home and abroad, there are disadvantages both for quantitative and qualitative judgment methods. For quantitative judgment methods, they are cumbersome and difficult to be adopted by competitive intelligence personnel. For qualitative judgment methods, they are unsystematic and incomplete. At present, there are few methods of judging the authenticity of information which are systematic,comprehensive, simple, easy, and combining quantitative analysis and qualitative analysis. Combining years of practical work experience in competitive intelligence, the author proposed 8 methods for judging the authenticity of information such as the source selection method. These methods are more systematic and comprehensive, and easy to be mastered and used by competitive intelligence personnel, which not only provide a convenient and reliable means of judging the authenticity of information for competitive intelligence personnel, but also have important reference value for scientific and technical personnel and publishing professionals.