乡村振兴视角下产业兴旺与生活富裕的耦合协调性研究

Research on the Coupling Coordination of Industrial Prosperity and Life Prosperity from the Perspective of Rural Revitalization

以乡村振兴为视角,利用耦合度模型、剪刀差、演化耦合度模型,对2005—2019年甘肃省产业兴旺子系统和生活富裕子系统的耦合关系进行了分析,研究结果显示:两子系统的耦合协调度在研究期内总体呈上升趋势,分别经历了失调衰退、中间过渡、协调提升三个阶段。由于产业兴旺子系统的演化速度持续下降,而生活富裕子系统的演化速度持续上升,导致二者的剪刀差α呈“V”型变化趋势,系统的演化耦合度β呈下降趋势,系统演化耦合度由共同发展状态变为初级协调发展状态。特别是2010年以后,产业兴旺子系统的演化速度小于生活富裕子系统的演化速度,这对长期维持的初级协调发展状态极为不利。因此,在甘肃省实施乡村振兴战略的首要任务就是要振兴乡村产业,激活乡村内生动力。

From the perspective of rural revitalization,using coupling degree model,scissors difference and evolutionary coupling degree model,this paper analyzes the coupling relationship between industrial prosperity subsystem and life prosperity subsystem in Gansu Province from 2005 to 2019.The results show that the coupling coordination degree of the two subsystems is on the rise in the research period,and they have gone through three stages:maladjustment recession,intermediate transition and coordination improvement.As the evolution speed of the industrial prosperity subsystem continues to decline,while the evolution speed of the life affluence subsystem continues to rise,the scissors differenceαof the two subsystems shows a“V”trend,the evolution coupling degreeβof the system shows a downward trend,and the evolution coupling degree of the system changes from the state of common development to the state of primary coordinated development.Especially after 2010,the evolution speed of the industrial prosperity subsystem is less than that of the life affluence subsystem,which is extremely unfavorable for the long-term primary coordinated development.Therefore,the primary task of implementing rural revitalization strategy in Gansu Province is to revitalize rural industry and activate rural endogenous power.