国际原油价格与港口原油吞吐量关系的实证研究

Empirical Study on the Relationship between International Crude Oil Price and Crude Oil Throughput of Port

文章采用格兰杰因果关系检验理论和方法对国际原油价格变化与港口原油吞吐量间的关系进行了研究。研究结果表明国际原油价格变化与港口原油吞吐量互为因果关系。根据格兰杰因果关系检验结果,从战术层面给出了港口应对国际原油价格变化的对策。

With the increasing competition of major domestic oil ports in the crude oil bonded transit market,an in-depth study of the relationship between international crude oil prices and port throughput is of great significance for formulating market development strategies and competing for goods sources.Therefore,the granger causality test theory and method are used to study the relationship between the change ofinternational crude oil price and the crude oil throughput of port.The results show that there is a causal relationship between the change ofinternational crude oil price and the crude oil throughput of port.According to the granger causality test results,the tactical countermeasures of port to deal with the change ofinternational crude oil price are given.