推动东北振兴取得新突破的空间经济基础

The Spatial Economic Base for Promoting the Economic Revitalization of Northeast China

推动东北振兴取得新突破是区域协调发展的重要课题。本文在指出改革开放以来东北地区经济发展两阶段下降特征的基础上,运用转移—分享分析法定量分析东北地区工业增长中结构性和区位性转移增长变化,发现空间格局不经济是东北振兴的主要障碍。基于此,建立密度、距离、分割、异质性等"4D"空间特性计量模型分析造成东北地区经济地理低效的主要区位性因素。研究发现,人口集聚规模效应不显、距离劣势导致市场潜力偏低、市场分割程度较高、异质性竞争力不突出是导致东北地区空间格局不经济的主要因素。因此,应通过空间规划,促进城市之间协同发展;改善交通,积极融入新全球化流动空间;智能转型,以信息化、数字化改造克服空间分割劣势;因地制宜,建设别具一格的现代化产业体系等措施重塑东北振兴经济地理的战略路径。

Promoting the economic revitalization of Northeast China is an issue of vital importance in the study area of regional coordinated development.Since Reform and Open up,the economic development of Northeast China significantly demonstrates two-stage declining.First,the essay illustrates a quantitative analysis of shift-share to display the structural and locational growth change of the industrial sector in Northeast China,which indicates that spatial diseconomies may be a main factor accounting for its economic decline.Second,based on this,a quantitative model of "4D"spatial characteristics such as density,distance,segmentation,and heterogeneity are established to analyze the main location factors that cause the inefficiency of economic geography in Northeast China.The study found that the insignificant scale effect of population agglomeration,the low market potential caused by the disadvantage of distance,the high degree of market segmentation,and the lack of prominent heterogeneous competitiveness are the main factors leading to the uneconomical spatial pattern of the Northeast region.Therefore,it is necessary to establish a population and economic agglomeration oriented towards metropolitanization through compact development;improve transportation and actively integrate into the new global mobility space;intelligent transformation,use informatization and digital transformation to overcome the disadvantages of space division;and adapting measures to local conditions and building a unique modern industrial system to reshape the strategic path of revitalizing the economic geography of the Northeast.