产业国际竞争力比较和跨境转移研究——基于产业竞争力指数的实证分析

Industrial International Competitiveness Comparison and Cross-border Transfer Research——Based on the Empirical Analysis of the Industrial Competitiveness Index

产业是现代经济体系的核心,近几十年来,产业的跨境转移现象较为普遍,引发了人们对国内产业是否会出现大范围加速转移的担忧。为此,本文构建了全球产业竞争力指标体系,运用2000~2019年数据,得到全球产业最具竞争力的28个主要国家的产业竞争力指数,并在此基础上,运用国际面板数据模型实证分析检验了影响产业跨境转移因素的效应。研究发现,我国产业竞争力总体排名世界第二,但部分指标如创新竞争、外部环境竞争等方面与其他国家相比还存在一定差距;产业跨境转移受到包括周期因素、产业竞争力、产业比较优势、产业规模优势、经济体量和经济社会发展阶段等多方面因素影响,其中受到产业竞争力、产业规模优势、经济体量和社会经济发展阶段影响显著。

Industry is the core of the modern economic system. In recent decades, the phenomenon of cross-border transfer of industries has become more common, which has caused people to worry about whether there will be a large-scale accelerated transfer of domestic industries. Therefore, this paper constructs a global industrial competitiveness index system, obtains the industrial competitiveness indexes of 28 major countries with the most competitive industries in the world by using the data from 2000 to 2019, and empirically analyzes and tests the effects of factors affecting industrial cross-border transfer by using the international panel data model. The study found that my country’s industrial competitiveness ranks second in the world overall, but some indicators such as innovation competition and external environmental competition still have a certain gap compared with other countries;cross-border industrial transfer is subject to cyclical factors, industrial competitiveness, and industrial comparison.Advantages, industrial scale advantages, economic volume and economic and social development stages are affected by many factors, which are significantly affected by industrial competitiveness, industrial scale advantages, economic volume, and social and economic development stages.