2021年前三季度世界经济形势分析与研判

Analysis and Research on the World Economic Situation in the First Three Quarters of 2021

2021年前三季度,世界经济持续缓慢复苏,新冠肺炎疫情对全球经济造成的影响仍在蔓延。中国经济表现良好,为世界经济复苏注入动力。中国制度优势和治理绩效在全球抗疫中彰显,进一步巩固和推进了世界经济"东升西降"这一历史进程。美国拜登政府在中美关系上继续施压,力图推进西方形成反华遏华联盟。全球化在挫折中继续前行,全球产业链、供应链面临深度调整,美国等继续推进所谓"民主国家"联盟下的产业链、供应链。全球产业链在区域化、近岸化、本土化的基础上,正在呈现日益突出的集团化、意识形态化、分裂化趋势。对于当前国际经济领域出现的新变化,我们应科学研判,做好应对。

In the first three quarters of 2021,the world economy continued to recover slowly,and the impact of the COVID-19 on the global economy is still spreading.China’s economy has performed well,which has injected impetus into the recovery of the world economy.China’s institutional advantages and governance performance have been demonstrated in the global fight against the pandemic,further consolidating and advancing the historical process of the world economy"rising eastward and falling westward".The Biden administration of the United States continues to exert pressure on Sino-US relations in an effort to push the Western to form an anti-China alliance against China.Globalization continues to advance in setbacks,the global industrial chain supply chain is facing in-depth adjustments,and the United States and others continue to promote the industrial chain supply chain under the alliance of so-called"democracies".On the basis of regionalization,nearshoreization and localization,the global industrial chain is showing an increasingly prominent trend of groupization,ideology,and fragmentation.We should make scientific research and judgments to deal with the new changes in the current international economic field.