乡村振兴背景下财政支农对农村经济增长的影响研究

On the Impact of Financial Support for Agriculture on Rural Economic Growth with the Background of Rural Revitalization

“三农”问题是党和政府工作的重中之重。从精准扶贫到乡村振兴,我国政府面向农村的财政支出规模不断扩大。本文使用我国1991—2020年的时间序列数据,构建多元线性回归模型,探究财政支出对农村经济增长的影响。结果显示:财政支农在教育、医疗、生态环境以及社会保障4个方面的支出均能够有效促进农村经济增长,其中教育支出对农村经济增长的正向促进作用最大,生态环境支出对农村经济增长的促进作用相对较低。农村人口规模扩大、农村居民消费水平提高均对农村经济增长具有一定程度的促进作用。

The problem of“agriculture,rural areas and farmers”is a difficult problem for the Chinese government to solve.From targeted poverty alleviation to rural revitalization,the scale of financial expenditure of the Chinese government in rural areas continues to expand.This paper uses China's time series data from 1991 to 2020 to build a multiple linear regression model to explore the impact of fiscal expenditure on rural economic growth.The results show that:The expenditure of fiscal support for agriculture in education,medical care,ecological environment and social security can effectively promote the rural economic growth,among which the education expenditure has the largest positive promoting effect on the rural economic growth,while the ecological environment expenditure has a relatively low promoting effect on the rural economic growth.The expansion of rural population scale and the improvement of rural residents’consumption level all have a certain degree of promoting effect on rural economic growth.