基于多智能体的新冠肺炎疫情对外贸企业的影响

On the Impact of COVID-19 Epidemic on Foreign Trade Enterprises Based on Multi-Agent Simulation

新冠肺炎疫情给外贸企业带来了巨大冲击,为准确评估疫情带来的不利影响,采用多智能体国际贸易模型模拟未发生疫情、发生疫情、采取干预措施等三种情况。得出结论:疫情对外贸企业负面影响巨大,而采取降低进出口环节成本、提振国内消费需求政策,能够帮助外贸企业迅速走出低谷。

COVID-19 outbreak have brought huge impact to the foreign trade enterprises.For accurately assessing the negative impact of the outbreak,the multi-agentmodel of international trade is adopted to simulate the three circumstances where there is no epidemic,there is outbreak,or there are interventions respectively.It is concluded that the outbreak brings huge negative impact on foreign trade enterprises.Reducing the cost in the import and exportlink and boosting domestic consumption demand can help the foreign trade enterprise quickly out of the trough.