基于突发性事件视角的中国对外贸易摩擦状况研究

A Study of China’s Foreign Trade Frictions from the Perspective of Emergencies

突发性事件往往会带来经济环境和贸易关系的波动。2020年,突如其来的新冠肺炎疫情使全球经济陷入低迷,贸易摩擦频发,一些西方国家带着"仇视情绪"针对中国展开了一系列贸易调查,全球价值链和国际贸易秩序遭到严重破坏,国家间贸易关系处于低迷状态。针对新冠肺炎疫情对贸易摩擦的刺激效应,系统回顾和分析中国近20年来出现的突发事件与贸易摩擦之间的关联性,能够明确国内外出现突发事件时国际贸易摩擦受到的相关影响。本文从突发外部冲击视角重新梳理了中国的对外贸易摩擦,并分析了突发外部冲击与中国对外贸易摩擦之间的关系,以及突发外部冲击影响下中国贸易摩擦的发展趋势,并在此基础上总结了我国在应对突发性事件所引发的贸易摩擦时面临的难点并得到相关启示。

Emergences often bring fluctuations in the economic environment and trade relations. The sudden outbreak of COVID-19 in 2020 plunged the global economy into a downward spiral and caused frequent trade frictions.Western countries, including some European countries and the United States, have launched a series of trade investigations against China with "animosity". The global value chain and the international trade order have been severely disrupted, and trade relations between countries are in the doldrums. In view of the stimulating effect of the pandemic on trade frictions, this paper systematically reviews and analyzes the relationship between emergencies and trade friction in past 20 years in China, which may help clarify the impact of international trade frictions when emergences occur in and out of China. This paper reviews China’s foreign trade frictions from the perspective of sudden external shocks and analyzes the relationship between them and China’s foreign trade frictions, and the development trend of China’s trade friction under such impact. On this basis, the paper summarizes the difficulties faced by China in dealing with the trade frictions triggered by emergencies and discusses some possible solutions.