中国旅游业碳排放脱钩效应测度与时空格局演变

Measurement and Spatial-temporal Pattern Evolution of Carbon Emission Decoupling Effect of China’s Tourism Industry

文章以中国2010—2019年省级面板数据为基础,采用"自下而上"法对旅游业碳排放脱钩水平进行测度,并结合Tapio脱钩模型与探索性空间分析法,审视各省份旅游业碳排放脱钩水平的时空格局演变特征。结果表明:中国整体旅游业碳排放脱钩指数处于不断波动之中,且各省份旅游业碳排放差异明显。从时序演变格局来看,研究期内中国旅游业碳排放脱钩演变态势较为平稳,主要处于扩张性连接状态,脱钩效应欠佳。从空间演变格局来看,中国旅游业碳排放脱钩效应空间集聚度较低,但总体呈波动上升趋势。

Based on China’s provincial panel data from 2010 to 2019,this paper uses the"from-bottom-to-top"method to measure the decoupling level of tourism carbon emission,and then combines with Tapio decoupling model and exploratory spatial analysis to examine the spatial-temporal pattern evolution characteristics of the decoupling level of tourism carbon emission in different provinces.The results show that the decoupling index of China’s overall tourism carbon emissions is in constant fluctuations,and that the differences of tourism carbon emissions among provinces are obvious.From the perspective of time series evolution pattern,the decoupling evolution trend of China’s tourism carbon emissions during the study period is relatively stable,mainly in an expansionary connection state,but the decoupling effect is not good.From the perspective of spatial evolution pattern,the spatial agglomeration degree of the decoupling effect of China’s tourism carbon emissions is low,but the overall trend is rising with fluctuations.