农业供给与城市消费市场需求的耦合协调研究--以湖南省为例

Study on the coupling coordination of agricultural supply and urban consumer market demand—Take Hunan Province as an example

基于城乡融合发展视角,采用熵值法、综合发展水平评价模型、耦合协调度模型和GIS空间分析方法,对湖南省农业供给与城市消费市场需求的耦合协调程度及空间分布特征进行实证分析。研究发现:(1)湖南省及各市(州)的农业供给与城市消费市场需求的综合发展指数均呈增长趋势。(2)湖南省农业供给与城市消费市场需求的耦合度呈波动增长趋势,于2019年达到最佳耦合状态;各市(州)的耦合度呈增长趋势,且空间差异的显著程度随时间推移逐渐降低。(3)湖南省农业供给与城市消费市场需求的耦合协调度呈波动增长趋势,经历了2005—2012年的快速增长阶段和2013—2019年的稳步增长阶段;各市(州)的耦合协调程度渐趋协调且空间差异不显著。据此提出,利用区域资源禀赋以发展优势特色产业,注重培育新型业态以不断拓展农业功能,推动消费转型升级以持续优化市场环境等对策,以期推进湖南省农业供给侧结构性改革与城乡融合发展。

Based on the perspective of urban-rural integration and development,this paper made an empirical analysis on the coupling coordination degree and spatial distribution characteristics of agricultural supply and urban consumer market demand in Hunan Province by using the entropy value method,comprehensive development level evaluation model,coupling coordination degree model and GIS spatial analysis method.The research found that the comprehensive development index of agricultural supply and urban consumer market demand in Hunan Province and each city(autonomous prefecture)all showed an increasing trend.The coupling degree of agricultural supply and urban consumer market demand in Hunan Province showed a fluctuating increasing trend and reached the optimal coupling state in 2019,the coupling degree of each city(autonomous prefecture)showed an increasing trend,but the significant degree of spatial differences gradually decreased over time.The overall coupling coordination degree of agricultural supply and urban consumer market demand in Hunan Province had a fluctuating growth trend,and has experienced a rapid growth phase from 2005 to 2012 and a slow growth phase from 2013 to 2019.The coupling coordination degree of each city(autonomous prefecture)was gradually coordinated and the spatial differences were not significant.Therefore,this paper proposes countermeasures of using regional resource endowment to develop advantageous and characteristic industries,focusing on cultivating new business forms to constantly expand agricultural functions,promoting the transformation and upgrading of consumption to continuously optimize the market environment,so as to promote the structural reform of agricultural supply side and urban-rural integration development in Hunan Province.