企业技术搜寻行为与自主创新能力共演机制仿真研究

Co-evolution Mechanism of Firms’ Technology-Seeking Behaviors and Self-determined Innovation Capability: Simulation Based on System Dynamics

以系统观、知识观和能力观为基础,构建触发因素→技术搜寻→自主创新能力系统动力学模型。通过量化触发因素、技术搜寻和自主创新能力的关系和仿真模拟发现企业技术搜寻行为与自主创新能力的共演机制,在环境动荡性与创新意愿两大动因作用下,企业技术搜寻行为与自主创新能力共演过程有交互式和非线性特征;伴随自主创新能力从基础阶段发展到高级阶段,超前技术搜寻、新兴科学技术搜寻和新兴经验技术搜寻的作用逐渐增大,而成熟技术搜寻作用不断降低;环境动荡性对自主创新能力有负向调节作用,企业创新意愿对自主创新能力有正向调节作用。

Based on the system view,knowledge-based view and competence-based view,this research constructs a system dynamics model of"trigger factors→technology-seeking behaviors→self-determined innovation capability".By quantification and simulation,the results show:Under the influence of environmental turbulence and innovation willingness,the co-evolution process of technology-seeking behaviors and self-determined innovation capability has interactive and nonlinear characteristics;With the development of self-determined innovation capability from the basic stage to the advanced stage,the effects of advanced technology-seeking,emerging science technology-seeking and emerging experience technology-seeking behaviors are increasing,while the role of mature technology-seeking behavior continues to decrease;The environmental turbulence has a negative regulating effect on the self-determined innovation capability,while firms’innovation willingness has a positive regulating effect on self-determined innovation capability.