摘要
The study of China s carbon emissions and carbon sequestration potential is of great practical significance to the formulation of carbon neutrality strategies and methods of China.Carbon emission is an inevitable outcome of the initial stage of economic development,especially the right of developing countries existence and development.The carbon emission of China has been maintained at a low level for a long time and reached the top of the world in 2005.However,per capita carbon emission was still only 46.28%of the United States in 2016.China s total CO_(2) emissions are expected to reach 17-19 Gt/a by 2030.To achieve the goal of carbon neutrality in 2060,the main problems are the low technical capacity of emission reduction and the unreasonable structure of energy consumption.Therefore,replacing coal with gas is one of the most effective ways of emission reduction.By 2060,the carbon sequestration capacity of forest vegetation will reach or exceed 759.14 Mt/a and the CO_(2) sequestration capacity will reach 2783.5 Mt/a.According to that,China s carbon intensity must reduce by 95.39%on the basis of the carbon intensity in 2017,reaching 640 t/100 million yuan.The carbon sequestration capacity of terrestrial vegetation(forest,grassland)will reach or exceed 1380.3 Mt/a and the CO_(2) sequestration capacity will reach 5069.3 Mt/a.According to that,China s carbon intensity must reduce by 91.07%on the basis of the carbon intensity in 2017,reach 1152 t C per 100 million yuan.
