基于灰色模型的衡阳市总家庭用水量预测分析

Prediction and Analysis of Total Household Water Consumption in Hengyang City based on Gray Model

以衡阳市2014-2019年总家庭用水量数据,建立了新陈代谢GM(1,1)模型对衡阳市2020-2022年总家庭用水量进行预测,结果分别为7319.234万m^(3)、7655.177万m^(3)、8057.299万m^(3),呈现出逐年增长的趋势。结合对某小区的实地调研,了解居民家庭用水现状,从政府,开发商和居民自身提出家庭用水节水建议。

In Hengyang city 2014-2019 total household water consumption data,the metabolism of GM(1,1)model for Hengyang city 2020-2022 total household water consumption forecast,the results are respectively 73.19×10^(6) m^(3),76.55×10^(6) m^(3),80.57×10^(6) m^(3),witch showing a growing trend year by year.Based on the field investigation of a residential area,understanding the current situation of household water use.Then put forward suggestions on household water and water-saving from the perspective of the government,developers and residents.