城乡经济社会二元结构背景下的农民就地城市化研究

Research on farmer’s local urbanization in the background of urban and rural economic and social dual structure

在城乡经济社会二元结构背景下,中国新型城镇化战略中心逐渐转变为人口城市化,部分乡村地区已经开始实施就地城市化。通过建立农民就地城市化的测度体系,测度2010年和2015年Z省农民就地城市化发展水平,并采用地理加权法构建农民就地城市化的影响因素分析模型,探讨交通区位、公共服务以及产业经济对农民就地城市化的影响差异性。结果表明,2010年Z省农民就地城市化发展主要受交通便捷度以及创新能力影响,2015年主要受道路通达度、医疗以及创新能力影响;各因素影响强度在Z省的不同地区呈现差异性,北部地区主要受创新能力、道路通达度以及医疗影响,东部地区主要受创新能力和交通便捷度影响,南部和西部地区主要受创新能力影响。最后提出推动农民就地城市化的相关政策建议,以期为中国农民就地城市化发展提供理论参考。

Under the background of urban and rural economic and social dual structure,China’s new urbanization strategic center has gradually transformed into population urbanization,and some rural areas have begun to implement local urbanization.By establishing the measurement system of farmers’local urbanization,the development level of farmers’local urbanization in Z province in 2010 and 2015 were measured,and the influencing factors analysis model of farmers’local urbanization was constructed by using the geographi⁃cally weighted regression method,and the effect differences of the impact of transportation location,public services and industrial economy on farmers’local urbanization were discussed.The results showed that the local urbanization of farmers in Z province was mainly affected by the convenience of transportation and innovation ability in 2010,and it was mainly affected by road accessibility,medical care and innovation ability in 2015.The influence intensity of each factor was different in different areas of Z province,the northern area was mainly influenced by innovation ability,road accessibility and medical treatment,the eastern area was mainly influ⁃enced by innovation ability and transportation convenience,and the southern and western areas were mainly influenced by innovation ability.Finally,some relevant policy suggestions of promoting farmers’local urbanization were put forward,in order to provide theo⁃retical reference for the development of local urbanization of Chinese farmers.