美国智库对“一带一路”实施八年来的认知评析

An Analysis of American Think Tanks’ Cognition of the Belt and Road Initiative in the Past Eight Years

[目的/意义]美国智库高度关注"一带一路"提出8年来的进展。准确研判美国智库对"一带一路"提出八年来的认知,有助于把握美国对"一带一路"的政策走向。[方法/过程]本文选取6家美国权威智库的16份代表性研究成果作为样本进行分析研究。其普遍认为,"一带一路"倡议是中国争夺世界霸权的工具,是获得参与国资源的重要手段,是输出中国发展模式的路径。[结果/结论]研究结果显示,美国权威智库对"一带一路"以负面认知为主。意识形态偏见、现实利益考虑和历史经验的"再情景化"是负面认知的主要动因。这些负面认知对美国政策界、盟友和沿线相关国家产生了重要影响。

[Purpose/significance]American think tanks pay close attention to the development of the Belt and Road Initiative over the past eight years.Accurately studying and judging American think tanks’ cognition of the Belt and Road Initiative over the past eight years will help to grasp the direction of US policy towards the Belt and Road Initiative.[Method/process]16 representative research results of 6 authoritative American think tanks are selected as samples.American think tanks generally believe that the Belt and Road Initiative is a tool for China to compete for world hegemony,an important means to obtain resources from participating countries,and a path to export China’s development model.[Result/conclusion]Research shows that mainstream American think tanks have mainly negative perceptions of the Belt and Road Initiative over the past 8 years.Ideological biases,practical interest considerations,and historical experience “Re-contextualization” are the main causes of negative perceptions.These negative perceptions have had an important impact on US policy circles,allies and related countries along the route.