基于灰色关联度模型的粤港澳大湾区港口发展影响因子对比分析

Comparative Analysis of Influence Factors of Port Development in Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area Based on Grey Relation Analysis Model

为研究大湾区港口发展和区域经济之间的关系,建立了灰色关联度分析模型,揭示了影响大湾区港口发展的主导因子。利用灰色关联分析方法,对比分析了2010~2014年和2015~2019年两个时间段内大湾区各经济指标与港口吞吐量的关联性,进而确定大湾区港口发展主要经济因素及关联度变化特征。研究结果有利于粤港澳大湾区港口和区域经济的发展,为大湾区港口规划、评价、决策及确定未来发展方向提供参考。

In order to study the relationship between the port development and regional economy in the greater bay area,the gray correlation analysis model is established,revealing the dominant factor affecting the port development.Using the grey correlation analysis method,the correlation between the indicators of the greater bay area and the port throughput in the two time periods of 2010~2014 and 2015~2019 were compared and analyzed,and the main economic factors and changes in the correlation degree of the port development in the greater bay area were determined.The research results are conducive to the development of ports and regional economy in the greater bay area,providing a reference for the port planning,evaluation,decision making and determination of future development.