基于耦合模型的珠三角物流与区域经济协同发展研究

Research on the Coordinated Development of Logistics and Regional Economy in Pearl River Delta Based on the Coupling Model

基于2010—2019年珠三角9市经济发展与物流业数据,构建珠三角物流与区域经济协同发展的评价指标体系,运用耦合模型分析两者协同发展水平及趋势。研究表明:珠三角物流与区域经济的耦合协调水平在不断提高,由中级失调阶段逐步过渡到良好协调阶段,但珠三角地区物流与区域经济协同发展的空间差异还很大,除了广州、深圳、佛山、东莞处于协调阶段,其他各城市均处于失调阶段。因此,珠三角地区急需整合物流资源,加强区域物流合作,以便更好地服务于粤港澳大湾区建设。

Based on the data of economic development and logistics industry of nine cities in the Pearl River Delta from 2010 to 2019,this paper constructs an evaluation index system for the coordinated development of logistics and regional economy in the Pearl River Delta,and uses the coupling model to analyze the level and trend of their coordinated development.Research shows that the level of coupling and coordination between logistics and regional economy in the Pearl River Delta is constantly improving,and gradually transitions from the intermediate incoordination stage to the good coordination stage.However,the space difference for coordination level of the two systems in Pearl River Delta is very big.Except for Guangzhou,Shenzhen,Foshan and Dongguan,which are in the coordination stage,other cities are all in the stage of incoordination.Therefore,the Pearl River Delta region urgently needs to integrate logistics resources and strengthen regional logistics cooperation in order to better serve the construction of Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area.