基于灰色预测的海口市旅游发展分析

Tourism Development of Haikou City Based on Grey Prediction

采用灰色预测方法预测海口市“十三五”旅游收入。针对海口市“十三五”期间旅游发展面临的突出问题,诸如海口市旅游效益列南北旅游大通道末位,琼州海峡制约海口市的旅游发展,海南岛交通网络未实现零换乘等,提出全力构建海口市旅游大交通,融入全国旅游大区域;继续扩大海口市旅游市场,增加旅游消费;利用海口南段省会城市优势提升椰岛之城影响力;不断挖掘海口市旅游文化内涵,提升旅游品质等对策。

The tourism revenue of Haikou during the 13th Five-Year Plan was given by grey prediction method.In view of the tourism development prominent problems in Haikou City,such as benefits ranking the end of the North-South tourism corridor,Qiongzhou strait restricting the tourism development,and the lack of zero-distance transfer in transportation network of Hainan Island,this paper suggested to build Haikou′s tourism transportation to integrate into the national tourism region;continue to expand Haikou′s tourism market and increase tourism consumption;make use of the advantages of the southern provincial capital city to enhance the influence of Yedao City and constantly search the tourism cultural connotation of Haikou and improve the tourism quality.