铁路商品汽车国际联运市场需求预测及发展对策

Market Demand Forecast and Development Countermeasures of Railway Commodity Automobile International Intermodal Transport

随着全球经济一体化发展,近年来我国商品汽车进出口国际联运和过境运输需求快速增加。在分析汽车进出口贸易发展形势基础上,对我国商品汽车进出口量主要影响因素进行关联度分析,并采用人工神经网络算法对商品汽车国际联运市场需求趋势进行预测。通过分析我国铁路商品汽车国际联运现状,提出树立中欧商品汽车班列品牌、优化双向运输组织模式、加快新型设施设备研发投入等铁路商品汽车国际联运发展对策,以期为提升我国铁路商品汽车国际联运市场份额提供借鉴。

With the development of global economic integration, the demand for international intermodal transport and transit transport of China’s commodity automobile import and export has increased rapidly in recent years. Based on the analysis of the development situation of automobile import and export trade, the correlation degree of the main influencing factors of China’s commodity automobile import and export volume has analyzed, and the artificial neural network algorithm has used to predict the trend of commodity automobile international intermodal transport market demand. By analyzing the current situation of China’s railway commercial automobile international intermodal transportation, this paper put forward some countermeasures for the development of railway commercial automobile international intermodal transportation, such as establishing the brand of China Europe commercial automobile train,optimizing the two-way transportation organization mode and accelerating the investment of new facilities and equipment, in order to provide reference for improving the market share of railway commercial automobile international intermodal transportation in China.