“印太战略”语境下蔡英文当局南海政策及其影响因素

Tsai Ing Wen Authorities' South China Sea Policy and its Influencing Factors in the Context of“Indo-Pacific Strategy”

美国推行“印太战略”以来,以介入南海争端为重要切入点,极力拉拢蔡英文当局,试图“以台制华”。在“印太战略”语境下,美国南海政策仍延续错误的对华认知,以质疑南海“断续线”法律效力和主张在南海开展“航行自由”为立足点干预南海问题,台湾在美国“印太战略”中也扮演着重要角色。蔡英文担任台湾地区领导人以来一直消极应对南海问题,不仅只强调太平岛的“事实主权”、强化海洋资源合作、主动融入“印太战略”,更可能在其第二任期进一步配合美国“印太战略”,积极充当“反中”急先锋,以拓展台湾“国际生存空间”。蔡英文当局南海政策受两岸关系、岛内民意和美国等多方面的影响。同时,蔡英文当局南海政策也将给我国南海疆域带来重大安全隐患。对此,中国大陆要保持战略定力,针对性地实施不同措施,以有效管控风险。

Since the implementation of“the Indo-Pacific Strategy”,the United States has tried its best to win over the Tsai Ing Wen authorities by intervening in the South China Sea dispute as an important starting point,trying to“control China with Taiwan”.In the context of the“Indo-Pacific Strategy”,the US South China Sea policy still continues the wrong understanding of China,and intervenes in the South China Sea issue on the basis of questioning the legal effect of“the intermittent line”in the South China Sea and advocating“freedom of navigation”in the South China Sea.Taiwan also plays an important role in the US“Indo-Pacific Strategy”.Since becoming the leader of the Taiwan region,Tsai Ing Wen has been passively dealing with the South China Sea issue.She not only emphasizes“the de facto sovereignty”of Taiping Island,strengthens marine resources cooperation and actively integrates into“the Indo-Pacific Strategy”,but is more likely to further cooperate with the US“Indo-Pacific Strategy”in her second term of office and actively act as an“Anti China”pioneer to expand Taiwan's“international living space”.Tsai Ing Wen's South China Sea policy is influenced by cross-Strait relations,public opinion on the island and the United States.At the same time,Tsai Ing Wen's South China Sea policy will also bring major security risks to China's South China Sea territory.For this reason,the Chinese mainland should maintain strategic determination and implement different measures to control risks effectively.