面向重大突发事件的智库应急情报保障研究

Construction of Emergency Intelligence Support System for Government Think Tanks during Emergency Events

了解突发事件中我国智库应急情报保障体系的组成要素、相互联系以及存在的问题,为更好地发挥我国智库在突发事件中的应急情报保障作用和提升应急情报保障的质量水平提供依据。采用自下而上的经验性研究设计思路,以Q事件背景下的33个智库为案例,爬取33个智库在Q事件期间发布的各类型资料,采用扎根理论三级编码思路构建理论体系。应急参与主体、应急保障对象、应急情报需求、应急保障内容和应急保障流程是智库应急情报保障体系的构成要素。其中,应急情报需求是驱动力,应急参与主体是推力,应急保障对象是拉力,而应急保障流程和应急保障内容彼此紧密联系,是智库发挥应急情报保障作用机制的核心部分。根据研究结果,提出融合众包模式、鼓励公众参与、引入新兴信息技术、提高应急情报需求感知效率以及提升应急参与主体协同联动水平等建议。

This study aims to understand the components,interrelations,and existing problems of the emergency intelligence support system of Chinese government think tanks in emergencies,to provide inspiration for government think tanks to improve the quality of the emergency intelligence support system.Taking 33 government think tanks as cases,this paper examines various types of data released by the 33 think tanks during the Q event and constructs the emergency intelligence support system based on grounded theory.Emergency participants,emergency supporting objects,emergency intelligence needs,emergency supporting content,and emergency supporting processes are the components of the emergency intelligence support system of government think tanks.Emergency intelligence needs are the driving force,emergency participants are the thrust,and emergency supporting objects are the pulling force.The process and content of the emergency intelligence support system are closely related,forming the core of the emergency intelligence support system.Combined with the research results,this study puts forward some suggestions,such as integrating the crowdsourcing mode,encouraging public participation,introducing emerging information technology,and enhancing the coordination of emergency participants.