贸易开放与社会信任——来自全球世界价值观调查数据的经验证据

Trade Openness and Social Trust:Empirical Evidence from the World Values Survey Data

借助第六次全球价值观调查数据,采用IV-Probit模型推断贸易开放对社会信任的因果效应,并分析其内在影响机制。结果表明:贸易开放度是影响居民社会信任水平的重要因素,在其他条件不变的情况下,随着一国或一个地区贸易开放度的提高,该国或地区居民的社会信任程度会提高。与发达国家相比,发展中国家贸易开放度的提高给社会信任水平带来的提升效果相对较小。贸易开放度影响社会信任的内在机制在于,贸易开放度的提高会降低收入差距,从而提高社会信任水平;安全和谐的社区环境、良好的健康状况、较高的收入水平、稳定的工作均会提高社会信任水平。

Based on the data of the 6 th World Values Survey,this paper adopts the IV-probit model to infer the causal effect of trade openness on social trust and analyzes its internal influencing mechanism. The results show that trade openness is a key factor that affects the level of social trust of residents. When other conditions remain unchanged,the increase of trade openness of a country or region leads to the improvement in the level of social trust of residents. Compared with developed countries,the improvement of trade openness in developing countries has brought little effect to the improvement in the level of social trust. The internal mechanism of trade openness affecting social trust is that the increase of trade openness will reduce the income gap and improve the level of social trust.