江苏省民航与高新技术产业互动关系研究

Study on Interaction Between Civil Aviation Industry and High-Tech Industry in Jiangsu Province

高质量发展是中国"十四五"时期经济社会发展主要目标,基于经济社会发展背景和民航运输业和高新技术产业在高质量发展中的作用,运用江苏省近20年的航空运输业务量以及高新技术产业产值建立VAR模型,分析航空运输与高新技术产业之间的互动关系。研究结果表明江苏省的航空客、货运均与高新技术产业之间存在着协整关系,高新技术产业对航空运输业的作用效果明显,特别是对航空货运具有显著的拉动效果。研究结论对制定江苏省航空运输与区域产业经济的协调发展政策提供了参考依据。

Based on the civil aviation passenger and cargo transport volume and the output value of high-tech industry in Jiangsu Province in the past 20 years, this paper analyzes the interaction between civil aviation transport industry and high-tech industry through unit root inspection, co-consolidation test, Granger causality and impulse response analysis of VAR model. The result shows that there is an interactive relationship between civil aviation transport industry and high-tech industry in Jiangsu Province, and the high-tech industry has obvious effects on air transport industry, especially air cargo industry. It tries to provide reference for the coordinated development of civil aviation passenger and cargo transportation and industrial economy in Jiangsu Province.