反倾销会抑制数字贸易出口吗?——兼论经济内循环的调节效应

Will anti-dumping inhibit digital trade exports?——Also on the adjustment effect of economic internal circulation

采用2007—2015年SITC REV4的产业分类与TTBD数据库进行匹配,并结合UNCTAD分类界定了数字贸易的研究范畴。通过熵值法测算了数字贸易反倾销水平,基于面板固定效应模型检验了数字贸易反倾销对出口的抑制作用,并实证分析了经济内循环对数字贸易反倾销抑制出口的调节效应。结果显示,数字贸易反倾销显著抑制了中国数字贸易出口,而经济内循环则能在极大程度上削弱这一抑制作用;人力资源、研发投入、外商直接投资和数字贸易开放度能够正向促进数字贸易出口。根据研究结论,提出了相关对策建议。

This paper used the industrial classification of SITC REV4 from 2007 to 2015 to match with the TTBD database,and combined the UNCTAD classification to define the scope of digital trade research.This paper measured the anti-dumping level of digital trade by the entropy method,tested the inhibitory effect of digital trade anti-dumping on exports based on panel fixed effect model,and empirically analyzed the regulatory effect of economic internal circulation on the export inhibition of digital trade anti-dumping.The results show that digital trade anti-dumping has significantly inhibited China’s digital trade exports,while economic internal circulation can greatly weaken this inhibition;human resources,R&D investment,foreign direct investment and digital trade openness can positively promote digital trade export.Based on the research conclusions,relevant countermeasures and suggestions are put forward.