长江经济带产业绿色发展水平及影响

Impact and industrial green development level in Yangtze River Economic Belt

依据DPSIR原理,从产业动力、产业生态、产业转型、产业效益构建分析框架,基于2008—2018年长江经济带11个省市的面板数据,采用熵值法和PVAR模型,分析产业绿色发展水平及影响。结果表明:长江经济带产业绿色发展水平按“缓慢爬升—波动稳定—向前快速提升”过程演变;驱动力和状态对长江经济带产业绿色发展水平影响程度最大;压力和状态的变化主要依赖于驱动力和影响的冲击作用,状态和驱动力是影响的变化主要来源;产业绿色发展水平呈现“下游高,中上游低”的空间格局,表现出明显的空间集聚特征。

Based on the principle of DPSIR,an analysis framework is established from industrial dynamics,industrial ecology,industrial transformation and industrial benefits.Based on the panel data of 11 provinces and cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2008 to 2018,the entropy method and the PVAR model are used to analyze the level and impact of industrial green development.The results show that the level of industrial green development in the Yangtze River Economic Belt evolves according to the process of“slow increase-stable fluctuation-fast forward improvement”.The driving forces and state have the greatest impact on the level of industrial green development in the Yangtze River Economic Belt.Changes in pressure and state mainly depend on the impacts of the driving forces and state,and the state and driving forces are the main sources of changes in impact.The level of industrial green development exhibits a spatial pattern of“high downstream and low mid-upstream”,indicating obvious spatial agglomeration characteristics.