中国农业产业结构黏性与优化路径

The Stickiness and Optimization of Agricultural Industrial Structure in China

在深入推进农业供给侧结构性改革的背景下,中国农业产业结构调整在沉淀成本、路径依赖、交易费用和不确定性等关键变量的共同作用下,呈现出明显滞后的黏性特征,成为制约我国构建现代乡村产业体系的重要原因。要走出农业产业结构调整黏性的藩篱,防止农业产业结构固化凝滞,提高农业供给的质量和效率,需要依靠政府强力推动,增加有效政策供给,加快技术渗入,打破路径依赖,降低各项成本,规避不确定性风险,充分激发农民的创新活力和创造潜能,藉此实现农产品从低水平供需平衡向高水平供需平衡的跃升。

In the context of deepening the supply-side structural reform of agriculture,the restructuring of China’s agricultural industry,under the combined effect of key variables such as sunk costs,path dependence,transaction costs and uncertainty,has shown viscous characteristics of an obvious lag,which has become an important reason for restricting the construction of a modern rural industrial system in China.To get out of the sticky situation of the structural adjustment,prevent the structure from solidifying and stagnating,and improve the quality and efficiency of agricultural supply,we need to rely on the government to increase effective policy supply,accelerate technology infiltration,break path dependence,reduce various costs,avoid uncertain risks,and fully stimulate farmers’innovative vitality and creative potential,so as to realize the leap of agricultural products from a low-level supply-demand balance to a high-level supply-demand balance.