内蒙古自治区经济发展与就业关系研究

Research on the Relationship between Economic Development and Employment in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region

通过构建指标体系和计量模型,利用近40年的数据,做具体的协整检验和因子分析。协整检验结果显示:经济发展与就业之间存在长期的均衡关系,短期内的偏离也可通过1.0129误差修正系数拉回到长期均衡状态。通过因子分析,发现12个地级市(盟)的就业形势受到社会发展水平、政府政策补贴、劳动者薪资水平等宏观经济因素的影响而出现差异。针对内蒙古自治区实际情况提出优化经济结构、促进就业发展、完善劳务市场等相应的解决政策和建议。

By constructing an index system and a measurement model, using the data of the past 40 years, a specific co-integration test and factor analysis are done. The results of the co-integration test show that there is a longterm equilibrium relationship between economic development and employment, and the short-term deviation can also be pulled back to the long-term equilibrium state through the 1.0129 error correction coefficient. Through factor analysis, it is found that the employment situation of 12 prefecture-level cities(communities) is affected by macroeconomic factors such as the level of social development, government policy subsidies, and wage levels of laborers. According to the actual situation in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region, corresponding solutions and suggestions are put forward to optimize the economic structure, promote employment development, and improve the labor market.