我国安全软科学的发展历程、现状与未来趋势

Development process,current situation and future trend of safety soft science in China

为准确梳理我国安全软科学进展,以GB/T 13745—2009《学科分类与代码》安全科学技术(620)一级学科体系中的软科学分支学科为范畴,论证安全软科学的价值作用及其要素贡献率;从历史与历程、演进与现状、趋势与挑战3个层面以及学科发展、学科体系、学科范畴、体制法制、监管治理、研究热点、研究前沿等多维度和多视角进行归纳、评论和综述;分析探讨未来安全软科学在理论创新、智慧安全、安全治理和高质量发展模式等方面的发展趋势和面临的挑战。结果表明:安全软科学要素对系统安全具有较大比例的贡献作用,全社会还需进一步加强对发展安全软科学的重视;安全管理学、安全系统学、安全文化、安全法学等学科研究成熟度相对较高,安全史学、安全经济学、安全伦理学、安全哲学研究成熟度较低;智慧安全、智慧应急、本质安全、安全脆弱性、安全领导力、党政同责将成为未来研究热点。

In order to understand the development progress of safety soft science in China,its value and factor contribution rate are comprehensively discussed by taking the branch of soft science in the discipline system of GB/T 13745-2009 safety science technology(620)as the category.Then,it was summarized,commented and viewed from three aspects,namely history and process,evolution and current situation,trend and challenge,as well as in multiple dimensions and perspectives,such as discipline development,discipline system,discipline category,institutional and legal system,regulatory governance,research hot-spots and research frontiers.Finally,development trends and challenges of the safety soft science in theoretical innovation,intelligent safety,safety governance and high-quality development mode were analyzed and discussed.The results show that the whole society needs to strengthen the development of safety soft science which plays a great role in system safety.Research on safety management science,safety system science,safety culture,safety law and other disciplines is comparatively mature,while that on safety history,safety economics,safety ethics,and safety philosophy is not.Moreover,smart safety,smart emergency response,intrinsic safety,safety vulnerability,safety leadership,and the shared responsibility of the party and government will become research hot-spots in the future.