气候变化归因:应对气候变化的科学基础——从诺奖得主克劳斯·哈塞尔曼谈起

Academic contribution of Klaus Hasselmann,winner of the 2021 Nobel Prize in Physics to climate change attribution

2021年诺贝尔物理学奖颁发给德国学者克劳斯·哈塞尔曼(Klaus Hasselmann)与另外两位科学家。克劳斯·哈塞尔曼是著名的海洋学家、气象和气候学家、物理学家。文章将简述哈塞尔曼的研究经历,介绍他在大气响应中的信噪比和气候变化归因的多模态指纹方法等方面的重要学术成就。还将结合最新的政府间气候变化专门委员会第六次评估报告中有关气候变化归因的主要结论,阐述在哈塞尔曼的开创性工作基础上建立起来的气候变化归因理论与方法,构成了人类合作应对气候变化的重要科学基础之一。

The Nobel Prize in Physics in 2021 was awarded to the German scholar Klaus Hasselmann and two other scientists. Klaus Hasselmann is a famous oceanographer, meteorologist,climatologist and physicist. This paper will briefly describe Hasselmann’s research career and introduce his important academic achievements in the aspects of signal-to-noise ratio in atmospheric response and multi-pattern fingerprint method of climate change attribution. Combining with the state-of-the-art conclusions about climate change attribution in the latest Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, this paper expounds the theory and methodology of climate change attribution based on Hasselmann’s pioneering work, which constitutes one of the important scientific bases for addressing climate change.