长三角地区物流业发展与经济增长的互动关系研究

Research on the Interactive Relationship between the Development of Logistics Industry and Economic Growth in Yangtze River Delta

物流业作为国民经济的基础产业,其发展与经济增长有着一定的互动关系。文章以长三角地区三省一市为样本,利用熵值法分别对物流业发展和经济增长进行测度和分析,并基于格兰杰因果检验、PVAR模型研究二者之间的互动关系。研究结果表明,长三角地区物流业发展与经济增长互为格兰杰原因;物流业的发展与经济增长之间存在着良性的互动关系;物流业的发展对经济增长的促进作用大于经济增长对物流业发展的促进作用。基于此,本文提出三点建议:促进区域内协调发展,形成良好合作互动;合理规划,齐头并进;把物流业发展提升到战略层面。

As the basic industry of national economy,the development of logistics industry has a certain interactive relationship with economic growth.Taking three provinces and one city in the Yangtze River Delta region as the research object,this paper uses entropy method to measure and analyze the development of logistics industry and economic growth respectively and studies the interactive relationship between them based on Granger causality test and PVAR model.The results show that the two factors are Granger causes.There is a positive interaction between the development of logistics industry and economic growth.The development of logistics industry promotes the economic growth more than the economic growth promotes the development of logistics industry.Based on this,this paper puts forward three suggestions:promoting harmonious development within the region,forming a good cooperation and interaction;planning rationally,going hand in hand;promoting the logistics industry to the strategic level.