广东省区域开发强度与资源环境承载力耦合分析

Coupling Analysis Between Regional Development Intensity and Resources Environment Carrying Capacity in Guangdong Province

解决区域开发强度与资源环境承载力发展不协调、不平衡的矛盾,已成为统筹推进区域协调发展战略的重要内容。该文以广东省为研究对象,引入综合指数测度模型、耦合协调度模型探究区域开发强度与资源环境承载力时空耦合特征及其演化规律,并借助地理探测器模型对其耦合协调时空演变的影响因素进行分析。结果表明:(1)2008-2018年广东省区域开发强度在不断增强,总体呈空间非均衡性分布,区域开发强度最高的依次为深圳、东莞、珠海三市;(2)2008-2018年广东省资源环境承载力状况整体不容乐观,且有所下降,空间分异明显,其中广州、深圳的资源环境承载力水平最高;(3)区域开发强度与资源环境承载力的耦合协调发展关系呈总体向好发展态势,处于拮抗耦合类型,失调阶段类型占比较大,深圳、东莞耦合协调度最高,河源最低;(4)区域开发强度与资源环境承载力的交互影响效应显著,经济、产业因素对二者耦合协调交互影响作用程度有所弱化,而区域投资效率、资源利用效率的作用强度在不断增强。

The contradiction of uncoordinated and unbalanced development between regional development intensity and resource environment carrying capacity, is becoming an important issue that need to be solved urgently in the strategy of regional coordinated development strategy. Taking Guangdong Province as the research object, comprehensive index measurement model and the coupling coordination degree model were introduced to explore the spatio-temporal coupling characteristics and evolution law of regional development intensity and resource environment carrying capacity, and the influencing factors of coupling coordination spatiotemporal evolution were analyzed with the help of geographical detector.The results showed that regional development intensity of Guangdong Province was increased in 2008-2018, and the overall spatial distribution of regional development intensity was non-equilibrium. The regional development intensity in Shenzhen,Dongguan, Zhuhai was the highest. The resource environment carrying capacity in Guangdong Province developed in declined from 2008 to 2018, with obvious spatial difference. The resource environment carrying capacity in Guangzhou,Shenzhen was the highest. The coupling and coordinated development between regional development intensity and resource environment carrying capacity showed a steady upward trend. The coupling degree between regional development intensity and resource environment carrying capacity was in the stage of antagonistic coupling. The coordination degree showed disorder type. The coupling coordination in Shenzhen, Dongguan was the highest, and the coupling coordination in Heyuan was the lowest.There was significant interaction effect between regional development intensity and resource environment carrying capacity. The influence of economic and industrial factors on the coordinated development level of regional development intensity and resource environment carrying capacity was weakened, while the intensity of regional investment efficiency and resource utilization efficiency was increased.