黄河流域碳排放的空间分异及影响因素研究

Study on the Spatial Differentiation and Influencing Factors of Carbon Emissions in the Yellow River Basin

基于地(市)级行政区划的视角,对2008—2017年黄河流域碳排放的空间差异进行分析,运用空间杜宾模型对黄河流域碳排放量的影响因素展开研究。结果表明:黄河流域地(市)间碳排放具有较强的空间相关性,空间集聚性呈现增强趋势;黄河流域碳排放分布具有较强的转移惰性,多数地区均未发生显著的时空跃迁,碳排放空间分布的凝聚性很强;碳排放强度受到多种因素的综合影响,地区经济增长水平、能源结构、产业结构、技术水平是重要的影响因素。这一结论对于黄河流域市(州)级行政区域科学制定与实施碳减排策略具有重要意义。

From the perspective of municipal(prefecture)administrative divisions,this paper analyzes the spatial differences of carbon emissions in the Yellow River Basin from 2008 to 2017,and uses the spatial Dubin model to study the influencing factors of carbon emissions in the Yellow River Basin.The results show that there is a strong spatial correlation of carbon emissions among cities(prefectures)in the Yellow River Basin,and the spatial agglomeration shows an increasing trend.And the distribution of carbon emissions in the Yellow River Basin has a strong transfer inertia,most regions have not undergone significant temporal and spatial transitions,and the spatial distribution of carbon emissions is highly cohesive.It is also found that the intensity of carbon emissions is affected by a variety of factors,such as regional economic growth level,energy structure,industrial structure,and technological level and so on.This conclusion is of great significance for the scientific formulation and implementation of carbon emission reduction strategies in the municipal(prefecture)level administrative regions of the Yellow River Basin.