我国沿海城市旅游化时空演变及其与城镇化响应分析

Spatial-temporal Evolution of Touristization in Coastal Cities of China and Its Interactive Response with Urbanization

基于我国53个沿海城市2001—2019年面板数据,通过构建旅游化和城镇化评价指标体系,运用探索性空间数据分析、标准差椭圆、PVAR模型等方法系统分析了我国沿海城市旅游化时空演变轨迹及旅游化与城镇化互动响应关系。结果表明:(1)我国沿海城市旅游化已进入稳步推进阶段,整体水平呈波动上升趋势,区域发展差异明显。(2)旅游化热点区域先增加后减少,空间集聚显著,重心逐渐向长三角沿海城市转移。(3)两者关系总体上表现为旅游化具有依赖自身发展的惯性特征,受城镇化的影响较弱。(4)环渤海和长三角沿海城市旅游化与城镇化存在双向互动关系,泛珠三角沿海城市仅表现为单向互动,旅游化对城镇化的推动作用更明显。

Based on the panel data of 53 coastal cities in China from 2001 to 2019,this paper constructed the evaluation index system of touristization and urbanization,and systematically analyzed the spatial-temporal evolution track of touristization and the interactive response relationship between touristization and urbanization in coastal cities by using the methods of exploratory spatial data analysis,standard deviation ellipse and PVAR model. The results showed that:(1)The touristization of coastal cities had entered a steady stage,the overall level was fluctuating and rising,and the regional development differences are obvious.(2)The hot spots of touristization increased first and then decreases,the spatial agglomeration was significant,and the gravity center gradually shifted to the coastal cities in the Changjiang River Delta .(3)The relationship between touristization and urbanization showed that touristization had the inertia characteristics of relying on its own development,and was weakly affected by urbanization.(4)There was a two-way interaction between touristization and urbanization in coastal cities in the Bohai Rim and the Changjiang River Delta. The coastal cities in the Pan-Pearl River Delta showed only one-way interaction,and touristization played a more significant role in promoting urbanization.