摘要
中国经济在21世纪最初十几年的高增长是一个重大的世界历史事件。但这场高增长的原因迄今没有得到充分讨论。研究表明,中国长期经济增长的主动力是在中华人民共和国的大国基础结构之下,以工业体系为载体的有用知识体系和社会能力的累积性成长。这个累积性的演进过程从新中国成立至今一直没有中断过,而在21世纪初出现高增长的主要原因是在一系列有利的条件下,蕴藏在中国工业体系和中国人民之中的能量得以迸发。这种能量的内在经济机制可以由递增报酬来解释,而使其得以充分发挥的社会条件则是改革开放带来的人民广泛参与。因此,对于中国经济还能不能继续以较高速度增长的问题,答案是肯定的和确定的。中国经济增长的“黄金时代”仍然可期。
The upsurge in China’s economic growth in the first decade or so of the 21st century is an epochal event in world history.However,the reasons for this high growth have so far not been fully discussed.Studies have shown that the main driver of China’s long-term economic growth has been the cumulative development of the system of useful knowledge and social capacity embedded in the industrial system,with the infrastructure the PRC possesses as a big country.This cumulative process has been uninterrupted since 1949,and the high growth rate at the beginning of the 21st century is largely due to the favorable conditions that have allowed the energy contained in the Chinese industrial system and the Chinese people to burst forth.The economic mechanism inherent in this energy can be explained by incremental rewards,and the social conditions that allow this to be fully exploited are the widespread participation of the people brought about by reform and opening up.Therefore,the answer to the question of whether China’s economy can continue to grow at a relatively high speed is a definite yes,for sure.The “golden age” of China’s economic growth is still within reach.
出处
《中国社会科学》
CSSCI
北大核心
2022年第1期36-62,204,205,共29页
Social Sciences in China