福建省经济脆弱性的时空演化及障碍因子

Spatial-temporal Evolution and Obstacle Factors of Economic Vulnerability in Fujian Province

研究构建了经济脆弱性综合评价指标体系,对2004—2019年福建省各市域经济脆弱性的整体变化趋势和时空分异特征进行刻画,并尝试揭示其主要障碍因子.结果表明:(1)福建省经济脆弱性总体呈现显著下降态势,主要驱动力来源于经济适应性的持续提高;区域经济脆弱性差异整体呈现下降趋势,组间差异是经济脆弱性差异产生的主要来源.(2)区域经济脆弱性空间格局发生显著调整,相同脆弱性类型区呈相邻分布特征.(3)城镇恩格尔系数、城镇登记失业率、城乡居民人均可支配收入比、人均财政赤字、万元地区生产总值能耗和人均固定资产投资额是影响福建经济脆弱性的主要障碍因子.

Economic vulnerability is the intrinsic essential attribute of the economic system and the key factor affecting regional sustainable development.This study constructs a comprehensive evaluation index system of economic vulnerability,describes the overall change trend and spatial and temporal differentiation characteristics of the municipal economic vulnerability in Fujian Province from 2004 to 2019,and tries to reveal its main obstacle factors.The results show that:(1)The overall economic vulnerability of Fujian Province shows a significant decline,and the main driving force comes from the continuous improvement of economic adaptability;the overall regional economic vulnerability showed a downward trend,and differences between regions are the main source of economic vulnerability difference.(2)The spatial pattern of regional economic vulnerability has been significantly adjusted,and the same vulnerability type areas are adjacently distributed.(3)Urban Engel coefficient,urban registered unemployment rate,per capita disposable income ratio of urban and rural residents,per capita fiscal deficit,energy consumption per 10000 yuan of GDP and per capita fixed asset investment are the main obstacle factors affecting Fujian’s economic vulnerability.