新冠肺炎疫情冲击下中朝韩贸易的困境与出路

Dilemma and Outlet of the China and Inter-Korea’s Trade Affected by the COVID-19

2018年,朝鲜半岛局势出现转圜,然中朝韩三国间贸易却在美朝新型关系建构停滞和新冠肺炎疫情冲击下再次遇冷。2020年的中朝贸易甚至遭遇腰斩式下滑。中朝韩三国间贸易由于贸易结构的不平衡性和贸易基础的脆弱性,多受三国间政治安全事件、国际制裁以及国际或区域突发事件的冲击与左右。我们需要基于马克思主义经济基础决定上层建筑的理论,将朝核问题纳入发展范畴,通过"中朝韩经济走廊"和三边贸易体系的构建来强化三国间的经贸基础和实力,扭转三国间政治安全反作用力强于经济基础决定力的现状,从而带动半岛无核化、半岛和平机制与半岛平衡发展三轨并行。

In 2018,the situation on the Korean Peninsula turned round.However,the trades among China,the DPRK and the ROK suffer cold because of the stagnant construction of new relations between U.S.-DPRK and the affection of COVID-19.The Sino-DPRK trade in 2020 was even cut half.Due to the imbalance of trade structure and the fragility of trade foundation,the trades among China,DPRK and ROK is mostly affected by political security incidents,international sanctions and international or regional emergencies.These three countries need to put the Korean nuclear issue into the development category based on the Marxism theory that the superstructure is determined by the economic basis.The construction of“China-DPRK-ROK economic corridor”and trilateral trade system will strengthen the economic and trade foundation among these three countries,reverse the situation that the reaction force of political security among these three countries is stronger than the decisive force of economic foundation,so as to promote the tri-track parallel of denuclearization of the peninsula,peace mechanism of the peninsula and balanced development of the peninsula.